Boston College
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 92.7277Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 12-20 213 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 9-12 221 N Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 9-10 224 A Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 19- 7 228 H Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 11- 9 304 A Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 6-17 307 A California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 15- 8 312 H Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 15- 5 314 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 12- 8 321 A North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 12-21 326 H Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 13-11 330 A Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 22- 5 404 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 11- 8 411 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 14-17 416 H Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 7- 4 422 N Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 7-14 508 N Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 10- 4 510 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Northwestern 12-20 -8 -3 -- -5.18
213 H Notre Dame 9-12 -3 1 - -3.72
221 N Michigan 9-10 -1 -1 0.19
224 A Florida State 19- 7 12 9 + 3.40
228 H Clemson 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.64
304 A Duke 6-17 -11 0 --- -11.40
307 A California 15- 8 7 9 -1.54
312 H Harvard 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.71
314 H Pittsburgh 12- 8 4 5 -1.39
321 A North Carolina 12-21 -9 -9 -0.46
326 H Stanford 13-11 2 -2 + 3.82
330 A Albany 22- 5 17 7 +++ 6.85
404 A Loyola (MD) 11- 8 3 2 1.17
411 A Virginia 14-17 -3 1 - -3.80
416 H Syracuse 7- 4 3 1 1.99
422 N Stanford 7-14 -7 -3 - -3.81
508 N Yale 10- 4 6 1 ++ 5.17
510 A Stony Brook 9-10 -1 -2 1.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Duke 6-17 -11 0 --- -11.40 206 H Northwestern 12-20 -8 -3 -- -5.18 213 H Notre Dame 9-12 -3 1 - -3.72 411 A Virginia 14-17 -3 1 - -3.80 422 N Stanford 7-14 -7 -3 - -3.81 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 A Albany 22- 5 17 7 +++ 6.85 312 H Harvard 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.71 508 N Yale 10- 4 6 1 ++ 5.17 224 A Florida State 19- 7 12 9 + 3.40 228 H Clemson 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.64 326 H Stanford 13-11 2 -2 + 3.82 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 12-20 -2.98 37.18 -1.37 0.96 -2.09
0 H Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 9-12 -6.52 33.65 -1.37 0.96 -3.80
0 N Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 9-10 -5.98 34.19 -0.00 0.96 -2.88
0 A Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 19- 7 -17.14 23.02 1.37 0.96 46.95
0 H Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 11- 9 -5.16 35.01 -1.37 0.96 64.75
0 A Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 6-17 -8.94 31.23 1.37 0.96 -3.64
0 A California ( 6-11, 82.8) 15- 8 -17.08 23.08 1.37 0.96 47.06
0 H Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 15- 5 -11.10 29.07 -1.37 0.96 53.32
0 H Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 12- 8 -11.19 28.97 -1.37 0.96 53.14
0 A North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 12-21 -0.00 40.17 1.37 0.96 -0.66
0 H Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 13-11 -3.98 36.19 -1.37 0.96 67.02
0 A Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 22- 5 -15.69 24.48 1.37 0.96 49.76
0 A Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 11- 8 -10.37 29.80 1.37 0.96 59.99
0 A Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 14-17 -9.34 30.82 1.37 0.96 -3.84
0 H Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 7- 4 -6.81 33.36 -1.37 0.96 61.57
0 N Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 7-14 -3.98 36.19 -0.00 0.96 -1.92
0 N Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 10- 4 -8.00 32.17 -0.00 0.96 61.92
0 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 9-10 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.96 -2.32
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544.33
|
winning pts = 565.4741 losing points = -21.1446
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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